The Death of Expertise. The Confidence Curve : Why We Think We Know More Than We Actually Do

The Confidence Curve Is Real. And It’s Messing With Our Heads. The book “The Death of Expertise” by Thomas M. Nichols, and honestly… it hit me in many personal experiences like a delayed invoice. Ever noticed how the loudest people often know the least? They speak in buzzwords, host flashy webinars, claiming too many positions and experience titles, and drop “strategy” like it’s confetti. But plot twist: A lot of these “experts” are running talk-only webinars with no real-world success, no receipts. They talk like a CEO but couldn’t run a lemonade stand. Selling vibes, not value. Add some Canva slides, and boom—thought leader. Meanwhile, real experts? They’re the ones saying “It depends…” Not because they’re confused, but because they actually know what they’re talking about. Welcome to the Dunning-Kruger Olympics, where algorithms give gold medals to whoever shouts loudest, not who gets results.

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